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News.com special report:

50 years in space

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Certainly, there are huge hurdles to clear before the private space industry takes off, beyond the $25 million flights people can take to the International Space Station with Diamandis' Space Adventures. NASA still believes that it has important work to do to land men on the moon, even though it has formed several partnerships with private industry to further its efforts.

Michael Griffin, administrator of NASA, said at a recent space conference: "We have here a program which is affordable, sustainable and which can be highly correlated to historical successes and developments from the past."

special report
50 years in space
In this multipart series, CNET News.com takes a look at the history of space exploration and how private industry is changing the way we look at space flight.

One of the biggest challenges for private industry is to get more people on flights into space so that the costs of operation go down.

Rutan, as the founder of Scaled Composites, changed the landscape of private space travel when he designed and built the SpaceShipOne suborbital commercial spacecraft. The first privately funded venture to put a civilian in suborbital space (funded by Microsoft's Allen), SpaceShipOne broke the Earth's atmosphere twice to win the $10 million Ansari X Prize in 2004.

Now, Rutan's company is building SpaceShipTwo, the suborbital rocket for Branson's Virgin Galactic space-tourism outfit. But Scaled Composites recently suffered a major setback when two people were killed in an explosion at the company's facility in Mojave, Calif.

Diamandis pointed out that the cost of space flight hinges on the people, rather than the vehicle or fuel. The annual space shuttle budget, for example, is about $2.5 billion if it conducts zero flights that year, he said. If it flies once a year, that cost goes to $3 billion, and if it flies four times a year, the cost is just under $4 billion, "so your price might drop down to $800 million per flight," he said. "So, we need to learn how to become much more robust--to become a real vibrant system and not an annual experiment that flies flights three or four times to space."

Branson's Virgin Galactic is the most visible, and first-to-market company attempting to accomplish this task. Branson is selling tickets aboard his SpaceShipTwo suborbital vehicle for about $200,000 to celebrities and millionaires. He expects the first flights to take off in 2009.

Photos: A half-century of space flight

In a much quieter fashion, Amazon's Bezos is building up Blue Origin, another commercial space company that's aiming to reduce the cost of flight for citizens. It's developing a vertical take-off, vertical-landing vehicle called the New Shepard that will take a few astronauts on a suborbital journey. So far, Blue Origin has had at least one successful test flight, but Bezos doesn't divulge many details about this venture.

Musk, who has built SpaceX with much of his own money made from selling Internet companies Zip2 and PayPal, is building launch vehicles that he says will reduce the cost of reaching orbit by a factor of two or three. Musk said at a recent space conference that he's interested in the space sector because of its impact on the future of humanity, and people transitioning from Earth to other planets.

Musk said the cost and reliability of space transportation, unlike other industries, hasn't improved significantly in the last 50 years. SpaceX, he said, is out to reduce the cost of and improve the reliability of space travel much the way the technology industry operates.

Musk's SpaceX has plans for several operational launches of its Falcon 1 next year. Musk has also promised to help teams get to the moon to compete in the Google Lunar X Prize, a race to put a robotic rover on the moon that's worth $20 million to the winner.

"For the first time in our 4-billion-year history, we have the opportunity to extend life beyond Earth, but the economic challenges are substantial," Musk said. "The reason I founded SpaceX was to try in a little way to make that happen."

Carmack founded Texas-based Armadillo Aerospace to build next-generation vehicles for transporting people and payloads into suborbit. Still under development, his experimental rockets were put to the test at last year's X Prize Cup, as the lone competitors in a NASA-funded contest to build and fly a lunar vehicle.

Rutan expressed hope that the current efforts in space will inspire the next generation.

"Right now kids are inspired by the next iPhone, not by exploration or taking risks, and that's going to hurt us," Rutan said at a recent space conference. "We have to change something so our environment excites kids. It's what really pays us dividends later."


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