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December 10, 2007 3:49 PM PST

Warming climate triples northern fire frequency

SAN FRANCISCO--Researchers have linked global climate change to a tripling in the frequency of large fires in major forests of Alaska and Canada.

Black spruce forests cover about 2.7 million square kilometers in Canada and Alaska--about a third of the area of the lower 48 states of the U.S., and fire records date back to the 1950s. Beginning around 1987, the rate that large wildfires struck the forest jumped from about once every 10 years to once every 3 years, said Eric Kasischke of the University of Maryland at College Park, speaking at the American Geophysical Union conference here Monday.

"We've seen an increase in the number of very large arboreal fires," Kasischke said. (He defines a large fire as one that burns more than 1 percent of the land area in a particular region, such as Alaska's interior.)

There are two links to the gradually warming climate, he said. First, the fires increasingly show up in the fall, when soils are driest and fires therefore are more severe, he said.

Second, the fires are burning deeper into the soil, a significant change given that these northern forests have a thick layer of biological material, typically about 10 inches deep.

"The fires that change the ecosystem the most are occurring more frequently," he said. He predicted that the gradual warming will mean black spruce forests gradually will be replaced by aspen, birch, lodgepole pine, and jack pine forests. In addition, when the organic layer burns, permafrost below no longer is as well insulated.

The deep-burning fires are something of a vicious cycle, too, from a global warming perspective. With the thick layer of biomass, the black spruce forests typically have about 50 tons of carbon per hectare--or about 20 tons per acre--where ordinary U.S. forests have only about a fifth that. When burned, that carbon becomes carbon dioxide, the dominant greenhouse gas culprit in global warming.

The deep burn releases enough carbon dioxide that "you can detect the signal in trace gas emissions," Kasischke said.

Stephen Shankland covers Google, Yahoo, search, online advertising, portals, digital photography, and related subjects. He joined CNET News in 1998 and since then also has covered servers, supercomputing, open-source software, and science. E-mail Stephen.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) 10 comments
Could it be undergrowth is thicker
by youngjm December 10, 2007 4:49 PM PST
Did they even consider the policies that do not allow for the controlled clearing of undergrowth that contributes to more fuel for a bigger fire?
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What would Gore have done....
by William Crow December 10, 2007 8:05 PM PST
How would Gore and his minions have responded to the mini-ice
age that occurred a few hundred years ago?

Similarly to how the pope and other clergy did of the day.
Reply to this comment
Solar Radiation
by johnericanderson December 11, 2007 3:17 AM PST
Heat from the sun.
Our sun oscillates at a minor frquency of about 11.5 years and a major frequency of about 300 years.

The frequency of Solar Flare activity is quite predictable. This happens as the sun heats up. Solar flare activity wanes as the sun cools down.
11.5 years per cycle. This is NOT caused by global warming. Rather, this contributes to climate changes here on the Earth.

Again, solar flares are not the cause, but they do indicate internal solar activity and they do happen as the temperature of the sun rises.

Which affects the earth in predictable cycles.

Translation? "OMG. We're all going to die!!! We had better raise taxes. The sky is falling!!"
Reply to this comment
"Global warming": the backbone of a $250 billion carbon offset trading scam
by directorblue December 11, 2007 4:35 AM PST
Did you know that the World Rainforest Movement -- as far back as 2000 -- accused the UN's IPCC of a major conflict-of-interest?

That some members of the IPCC, the instigator of much of the hysteria around warming, positioned themselves to profit from the panic by setting up carbon trading and consulting companies?

That the carbon trading market could be as big as $250 billion annually, and ecologists, agriculturists, scientists, and many others have called carbon offseting a "scam", "hoax", "fraudulent" and worse?

http://directorblue.blogspot.com/2007/04/uns-ipcc-global-warming-bunko-scam-uns.html

It's great to invest in green technologies, to protect the Earth's resources, and to minimize damage to the environment. But much of this hysteria is built around green (currency), not environmental stewardship.
Reply to this comment
Here's an Idea
by Hardcode December 11, 2007 6:00 AM PST
Instead of articles or "blogs" that inform your readers about forrest fires in Alaska or whether or not they should burn one less Hanukkah candle, why not run an article (or series) on the computer models that seem to be at the middle of the AGW debate? You are a technology website.I can the dogma elsewhere.
Reply to this comment
Warming Climate
by cac64 December 11, 2007 9:22 AM PST
I would call it justice. The country that refuses to sign any international agreements to prevent further damage to the environment should experience the devastating consequences of its own behaviour. Hurricanes, flooding of New Orleans? When do they learn in the USA? Probably never
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About Underexposed

This blog sheds light on digital photography subjects such as cameras, photo editing, and Web sites. Shankland joined CNET News in 1998 after a five-year stint as a science writer. He's a lab rat who grew up in Los Alamos, N.M., and graduated from Harvard.

Contact Stephen at Stephen.Shankland@cnet.com

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